Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

MLB Post Season Update: League Championship Series


The MLB Division Championship Series have come to an end and the NLCS and ALCS series are about to begin. This post will examine those match ups and unveil the Groundskeeper MLB League Championship series predictions.

ALCS

New York Yankees (95-67) vs. Texas Rangers (90-72)

This series will pit the defending World Series Champion New York Yankees against the American League West Champion Texas Rangers. The Yankees are coming off a series sweep of the Minnesota Twins, while the Rangers are riding the excitement surrounding their 3-2 series win over the AL East Champion Tampa Bay Rays; which culminated in their first ever ALDS series crown.

New York is heading into the series with fresh legs after receiving plenty of rest while waiting for the Rangers and Rays to battle it out. Their series against the Twins appeared as though it was a rejuvenation session conveniently planned for the post season. All of the question marks that they had going into the match up seem to have been erased. The Groundskeeper Series MVP award goes to Yankees Center Fielder Curtis Granderson who batted right around .455 with two 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 RBIs. Granderson also put himself in scoring position by recording both a double and a triple. The Groundskeeper Series CY Young award goes to New York Starting Pitcher Phil Hughes who pitched 7 scoreless innings with 6 strike outs and 1 walked batter in game 3 of the Yankees sweep over the Twins. If the Yankees can keep up the type of play they produced against Minnesota they will be in prime position to take the next series as well.

The Texas Rangers had never won a playoff series going into their match up against Tampa Bay. Incidentally their Ace Pitcher Cliff Lee had never lost a post season game. By the time the 5th game rolled around it became a certainty that one of those streaks was about to come to an end. Fortunately for Lee and the Rangers it was the streak that they were both playing to break. The Rangers left the series with some serious holes to fill, but they also proved that they are a dangerous team when firing on all cylinders. The Groundskeeper Series MVP goes to Rangers Second Baseman Ian Kinsler who produced an impressive stat sheet with 5 runs, 8 hits, 3HRs, and 6 RBIs. The Groundskeeper Series CY Young award goes to Texas Starting Pitcher Cliff Lee who posted an impressive 1.13 ERA with 21 strike outs and 2 walked batters over the course of 16 innings. If the Rangers can keep their bats alive and rally behind their bullpen, they should be in fantastic shape in their upcoming series against the Yanks.

The deciding factor in this series should be depth. While New York has struggled on the road against Texas, the struggle has not been what it appears to be at face value. In all of the games with the exception of their final meeting (with Lee at the helm) the Rangers have had to rally late and rely on relief pitching to win games. In their post season series that starts Friday, Cliff Lee will likely not be available to start until game 3 due to the series against the Rays going all 5 games. Look to the Yankees and their hot bats to take advantage of the Rangers lack of depth at the Starting Pitcher spot. While the regular season meetings between these two teams got split at 4 games a piece, the Groundskeeper prediction for this series is: New York over Texas 4-2.

NLCS


Philadelphia Phillies (97-65) vs. San Francisco Giants (92-70)

This series will feature the defending National League Champion Philadelphia Phillies against the National League West Champion San Francisco Giants. The Phillies are arriving in the NLCS after a 3 game sweep of the insurgent Cincinnati Reds, while the Giants are charging in after a dominating 3-1 series win over the Atlanta Braves.

The Phillies pitching absolutely dominated the Reds giving up only 4 runs the entire series; and did I mention that all of those came in one game? In game 1 of the series Phillies Pitcher Roy Halladay threw only the second no hitter in the history of post season baseball; and for the Reds it was all down hill from there. The Phillies bats however, were not particularly potent during the series. Only two players were batting above .300 and one of those players was Roy Halladay (.333). The Groundskeeper Series MVP award goes to Phillies Second Baseman Chase Utley who scored 3 runs on 3 hits with 1 HR and 4 RBI's. The Groundskeeper CY Young award goes to (no surprise here) Philadelphia Starting Pitcher Roy Halladay who pitched a complete game giving up zero hits, zero earned runs, 1 walked batter and 8 strike outs. If the Phillies can get more out of their bats, their pitching should easily be able to do the rest.

San Francisco's starting pitching was also quite spectacular in their meeting against the Atlanta Braves. Led by the arm of their 12 year old phenom... only kidding; led behind the fire ball hurling arm of the young Tim Lincecum the Giants easily moved past the Braves and into the ALCS. Much like the Phillies however, if not even more so, the Giants batting is suspect (to say the least). The Giants averaged under 3 runs a game against Atlanta with no one batter standing out from the rest. The Groundskeeper Series MVP award goes to San Francisco Catcher Buster Posey who in spite of not producing a single RBI was able to hit for a .375 average as well as score 3 runs on 6 at bats. The Groundskeeper Series CY Young was a gimmie; Giants Pitcher Tim Lincecum made the Braves look silly with just 2 hits given up, and 14 strike outs on top of a 0.00 ERA. If the Giants can do more at the plate they should have the pitching to match up well against the Phillies.

The deciding factor in this game should be the utter lack of batting. The pitching in this game from both clubs should be sensational. The key to winning will belong to which ever team can spur their team into production at bat first. This conundrum really benefits the Phillies more than it does the Giants in that their (Philadelphia) lineup is stockpiled with postseason vets and a good record of production at the plate. The Groundskeeper prediction for this series is: Philadelphia over San Francisco 4-1.

Monday, September 27, 2010

First Post: Overview and Predictions

There is a smörgåsbord of topics that I want to address all at once. That reality is probably what drove me to create this blog in the first place. The weekend has been pretty jam packed with happenings all across the sporting landscape. Alabama and Boise State avoided upsets as Texas plummeted in the rankings. The Saints fell on their home turf to the Falcons and Brett Farve navigated the Vikings to a less than graceful win. In the MLB the Phillies and the Rangers clinched playoff berth while the Yanks and the Reds put themselves on the brink. And tons and tons more.

So what does all of this mean? Well as the Groundskeeper I have a unique (fictional and delusional) insiders look at what is going on in the sporting world. Lets start with NCAA Football. The new AP Top 25 was released over the weekend- http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings?poll=1.

In spite of my unrelenting efforts to sway them to my point of view, the AP once again got it wrong. So I have taken it upon myself to create and release the Groundskeeper Top 25:

1. Alabama
2. TCU
3. Nebraska
4. Boise State
5. Ohio State
6. Florida
7. Oregon
8. Stanford
9. Oklahoma
10. LSU
11. Auburn
12. Utah
13. Arkansas
14. Wisconsin
15. USC
16. Michigan
17. South Carolina
18. Arizona
19. Michigan State
20. Miami
21. Oklahoma State
22. Florida State
23. Iowa
24. North Carolina State
25. Nevada

Yes I left Texas out. They got embarrassed by UCLA, who in turn got beat by a fellow Big Twelve team Kansas State. Now, I fully expect Texas to go on and have a strong season, but as of right now they are looking pretty awful. In my mind Ohio State and Oregon do not deserve their high AP rankings because those seem to be predicated solely on name recognition and the huge point totals they are putting up. They are both clearly top 10 teams... but not clearly top 5 teams. (Ohio State barely made it due to their win over Miami). I am really looking forward to the Oregon v. Stanford game this coming weekend.

Speaking of upcoming games... here are my picks for this weekends big games:

Alabama v. Florida: 24-17
Florida is led by a great Coach in Urban Meyer. He will undoubtedly have his players prepared for the Crimson Tide. However, as we saw the Hogs QB Ryan Mallett falter against Alabama's front line pressure, we can only expect the same or less from Florida QB John Brantley. Florida is a very talented team, next year look out.

Oklahoma v. Texas: 35-21
The Red River Rivalry has lost much of its luster this year in the wake of Texas's humiliating loss against UCLA. This game still might live up to its billing though. I fully expect DeMarco Murray to have a big game as the Sooners go on to live another day in the decrepit Big 12.

Stanford v. Oregon: 42-37
This one should be a very high scoring game. Two of the Nation's top scoring offenses will be lining up toe to toe. If Andrew Luck can avoid turnovers the Cardinals should go on to win this one.

Wisconsin v. Michigan State: 24-14
Penn State v. Iowa: 14-10

NFL
The NFL season is underway and we are starting to get a better idea of what to expect from certain teams. In this post I am going to simply make my predictions on how teams will rank when the dust settles at playoff time.

NFC East

Dallas
Philadelphia
Washington
New York

NFC North

Green Bay
Minnesota
Chicago
Detroit

NFC South

New Orleans
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Carolina

NFC West

Seattle
San Francisco
Arizona
St. Louis

AFC East
New England
New York
Miami
Buffalo

AFC North

Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Cincinnati
Cleveland

AFC South

Indianapolis
Tennessee
Houston
Jacksonville

AFC West

Denver
Kansas City
San Diego
Oakland

MLB
The regular season is coming to an end and in the ensuing days I will be writing more on my awards for regular season performances as well as my post season predictions. Stay tuned.

NBA
Training day is here alas! NBA players are priming their games and teams are making their final preparations for what promises to be a jam packed NBA season. The Groundskeeper NBA Season Preview is just around the corner!

Miscellaneous
I have for a long time been interested in rankings and statistics with respect to various sports. With that said I am going to from time to time be compiling and releasing lists of rankings in an array of various categories ranging from NBA's Top 50 to MLB's Greatest Pitchers to NFL's Greatest Logos to Funkiest Athlete Haircuts. I really look forward to your comments on what I have complied and your suggestions for future compilations.

Best,
Andrew